The Frodo Franchise by Kristin Thompson
 
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March 19 : 2010

MGM situation on due date of second-round bidding

Today is the deadline for the second round of bidding for MGM. Variety has published a good summary of the situation. Here’s the most relevant portion:

Debt-laden MGM invited a half-dozen suitors last month to participate in a second round of bidding, which included allowing those that qualified to pore over MGM’s internal financials. Though no one has announced a formal bid, the most likely candidates are Time Warner, Lionsgate and Len Blavatnik’s Access Industries.

People close to the situation believe Access has indicated it is willing to make an offer of as much as $2 billion. Lionsgate’s offer is pegged in a range between $1.4 billion and $1.8 billion while Time Warner’s offer is expected to be in the $1.5 billion range. Potential bids by John Malone’s Liberty Media and Ryan Kavanaugh’s Relativity Media with hedge fund Elliott Management aren’t expected to materialize.

Each bid contains unique challenges. Access would establish itself as a showbiz player but would likely sell off MGM’s rights to the James Bond and “Hobbit” franchises. Time Warner, sitting on a wad of $5 billion in cash from the recent spinoff of its cable systems, would be able to fully exploit Bond and “Hobbit” (which it is already co-producing through New Line) but probably has little use for the 4,000-title library. Lionsgate, which has historically grown partly through library acquisitions, isn’t set up to do tentpoles such as the Bond movies and would likely seek a partner or sell off the franchises.

The submission of binding bids means that MGM will meet within the next week or so with its debtholders to sort out what to do next. Possibilities include picking one of the offers, starting a third round of bidding or going the route of recapitalizing. A recapitalization bid could bring investment bank Qualia Capital or News Corp. into the picture.

Qualia, operated by former Artisan exec Ken Shapiro and Amir Malin, is believed to have proposed a combination of a cash infusion and a debt-to-equity transaction that would allow MGM to remain in business with its existing management. The Lion has said that one of its options for dealing with its crushing $3.7 billion debt load is to find a partner or remain a stand-alone entity.

It’s uncertain if the numbers being bandied about as the price for MGM assets — which include MGM and United Artists names and logos and MGM’s TV operations — will be high enough to meet expectations of the 140 MGM debt holders. And since MGM’s privately held, there’s no specific sale deadline as long as the debt holders go along.

Since Cooper came on board, the debt holders have agreed three times to extend the debt payments, with the most recent extension going to March 31. MGM’s facing repayment of its $250 million revolving credit line in early April and a $1 billion payment on its $3.7 billion debt in July 2011.

One bit of important news here is that the bidders seem to be down to three, while five or six had been invited by MGM to submit bids. Time Warner is one of the three. It sounds as though even if one of the other bidders actually buys MGM or its assets, it might be willing to sell the Hobbit rights to Time Warner.

I had not expected a third round of bidding to be a viable option, since none of the firms still in the process seems to want to go over the $2 billion that seems to be the minimum amount MGM is expected to find acceptable. With so few bidders still in the game and none of them likely to go much higher, a third go-round seems unlikely to benefit MGM.

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    The Frodo Franchise
    by Kristin Thompson

    US flagbuy at best price

    Canadian flagbuy at best price

    UK flagbuy at best price

    Berkeley: University of California Press, 2007.
    hardcover 978-0-520-24774-1
    421 pages, 6 x 9 inches, 12 color illustrations; 36 b/w illustrations; 1 map; 1 table

    “Once in a lifetime.”
    The phrase comes up over and over from the people who worked on Peter Jackson’s The Lord of the Rings. The film’s 17 Oscars, record-setting earnings, huge fan base, and hundreds of ancillary products attest to its importance and to the fact that Rings is far more than a film. Its makers seized a crucial moment in Hollywood—the special effects digital revolution plus the rise of “infotainment” and the Internet—to satisfy the trilogy’s fans while fostering a huge new international audience. The resulting franchise of franchises has earned billions of dollars to date with no end in sight.

    Kristin Thompson interviewed 76 people to examine the movie’s scripting and design and the new technologies deployed to produce the films, video games, and DVDs. She demonstrates the impact Rings had on the companies that made it, on the fantasy genre, on New Zealand, and on independent cinema. In fast-paced, compulsively readable prose, she affirms Jackson’s Rings as one the most important films ever made.

    The Frodo Franchise

    cover of Penguin Books’ (NZ) edition of The Frodo Franchise, published September 2007. The tiny subtitle reads: “How ‘The Lord of the Rings’ became a Hollywood blockbuster and put New Zealand on the map.”